PREDVIDEVANJE RAZVOJA TRAJNOSTNE ENERGETIKE V SLOVENIJI
Povzetek
Razvoj v energetiki je močno odvisen od tehnoloških predvidevanj, ki lahko predstavljajo osnovni vir informacij pri načrtovanju prihodnje energetske politike. Energetska politika se mora navezovati na globalno razvojno paradigmo ob upoštevanju energetskih potreb, demografskih sprememb, globalnih trendov, okoljskih in zakonskih omejitev ter posebnosti posameznih geografskih področij. Za pripravo učinkovite energetske politike potrebujemo zanesljive podatke, ki jih Delphi raziskava z naborom različnih strokovnjakov s področja energetike nedvomno zagotavlja. V prispevku so predstavljene najpomembnejše ugotovitve pridobljene v slovenski Delphi raziskavi o prihodnjem razvoju trajnostne energetske politike v Sloveniji. Rezultati raziskave so pokazali, da je doseganje višje energetske učinkovitosti in zmanjševanje rabe končne energije veliko bolj pomembno od ohranjanja nizkih cen energije. Raziskava je prav tako potrdila predvidevanja, da se bodo cene vseh energentov, vključno s fosilnimi gorivi in lesno biomaso do leta 2020 povečale, še nadaljnje povečevanje cen energentov pa je mogoče pričakovati tudi do leta 2030. Po predvidevanjih Delphi raziskave bo Slovenija prešla v trajnostno energetiko okoli leta 2046. Po mnenju energetskih strokovnjakov so najprimernejše investicije v male‐ in mikro‐hidroelektrarne ter v kogeneracijske enote/v enote za soproizvodnjo
toplote in elektrike.
Prenosi
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